Good Entropy

My Basic Blog

[powered by WordPress.]

07/14/2008

Probability is Subjectively Objective

by @ 6:09 pm. Filed under Uncategorized

Jaynes used to recommend that no one ever write out an unconditional probability: That you never, ever write simply P(A), but always write P(A|I), where I is your prior information. I’ll use Q instead of I, for ease of reading, but Jaynes used I. Similarly, one would not write P(A|B) for the posterior probability of A given that we learn B, but rather P(A|B,Q), the probability of A given that we learn B and had background information Q.

This is good advice in a purely pragmatic sense, when you see how many false “paradoxes” are generated by accidentally using different prior information in different places.

at
Probability is Subjectively Objective

[powered by WordPress.]

jour·nal n. A personal record of occurrences, experiences, and reflections kept on a regular basis; a diary.

internal links:

categories:

search blog:

archives:

July 2008
M T W T F S S
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031  

other:

95. We are waking up and linking to each other. We are watching. But we are not waiting.
The Cluetrain Manifesto

36 queries. 0.597 seconds